Fort Lauderdale, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

415
FXUS62 KMFL 251736
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
136 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 134 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

    - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly
      across the interior this afternoon into this evening. Strong
      wind gusts, hail, and excessive lightning is possible with
      the most robust thunderstorm activity.

    - Above normal temperatures are possible heading into the
      middle and latter portion of the upcoming week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

A weak mid level trough will remain near the region today with the
trough axis just offshore in the western Atlantic. This will help to
promote more of a northwesterly wind flow aloft throughout most of
today. At the surface, South Florida will remain on the western side
of an area of high pressure centered off in the western Atlantic. At
the same time, a weakening cold front will gradually push through
the Southeastern portion of the country and towards the Gulf Coast
heading into tonight. Since the surface high pressure will remain
the dominate synoptic feature in the weather pattern across South
Florida today, this will bring rather light winds across the
region that will be mainly sea breeze driven heading into the
afternoon hours. Moisture advection will be taking place
throughout the day and the latest forecast model soundings show
PWAT values increasing and ranging between 1.3 and 1.5 inches
heading into the afternoon hours. This will be enough moisture to
support scattered shower and thunderstorm development across the
region this afternoon. Convective initiation will be driven by the
sea breeze boundaries as they push inland and interact with each
other.

While the chances for strong thunderstorm development will remain on
the lower side, there will be enough instability in place to
support a few strong storms across the interior where the sea
breeze and other mesoscale boundaries interact with each other.
With 500mb temperatures hovering between -11 and -12C this
afternoon and DCAPE values ranging between 700 and 900 J/kg, the
strongest thunderstorms will have the potential to produce gusty
winds and small hail. High temperatures this afternoon will
generally rise into the lower 80s across the east coast and into
the upper 80s to around 90 across interior portions of Southwest
Florida.

Heading into Sunday, a secondary mid level shortwave impulse will
approach from the Gulf later in the day as the surface frontal
boundary pushes further south into Northern and Central Florida.
This will help to weaken the surface high across South Florida and
it will create a wind shift to more of a south to southwesterly
direction especially heading into the afternoon hours. While the
sea breezes will develop once again on Sunday, with the south
southwesterly wind flow in place, the Gulf breeze will be more
dominate as the east coast sea breeze most likely ends up getting
pinned over the metro areas. The combination of the mid level
shortwave approaching the area combined with the weakening frontal
boundary moving closer to the region could provide extra sources
of lift over portions of South Florida. While the exact details
still remain a bit uncertain, this could lead to the potential of
some stronger storm development on Sunday afternoon as
instability increases during peak diurnal heating. The stronger
storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, heavy downpours,
and potentially some small hail. High temperatures on Sunday will
be warm as mid to upper 80s will be common across most of the
area. Some interior locations along and south of Alligator Alley
could see high temperatures rise to around 90 Sunday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 219 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

The mid level shortwave impulse pushes across the region on
Sunday night into Monday morning, and it moves into the western
Atlantic along with the mid level trough axis by Monday afternoon.
At the surface, the latest global and ensemble guidance remains
in good agreement with cyclogenesis taking place allowing for a
broad area low pressure to develop off the Carolina coast on
Sunday night. This intensifying area of low pressure then
gradually lifts northeastward in the western Atlantic during the
day on Monday. The developing low will help to push the frontal
boundary across the region sometime during the day on Monday,
however, there does remain some uncertainty in regards to how
fast it actually pushes through the region. The ECMWF guidance
suite pushes it through faster and has it through the region on
Monday morning while the GFS guidance suite holds it back and does
not have it pass through until later in the day. With the best
dynamics and instability racing off to the northeast with the
developing low, the chances for strong thunderstorms will be on
the downward trend on Monday as conditions will become less
favorable as the trough axis pushes offshore. High temperatures on
Monday will generally rise into the upper 80s across most areas,
with lower 90s possible across the interior portions of Southwest
Florida.

Heading into Tuesday and Wednesday, rather strong mid level ridging
centered over the southwestern Gulf will quickly expand eastward
towards the Florida Peninsula during this time frame. At the
surface, high pressure gradually builds in from the north and
centers over the Florida Peninsula through the middle of the week.
This will lead to mainly dry conditions along with warm temperatures
through the middle of the week. High temperatures on Tuesday and
Wednesday will range from the mid to upper 80s across the east
coast metro areas. High temperatures in the lower 90s will be
common across the interior as well as most of Southwest Florida
during this time frame.

Uncertainty starts to increase heading into the second half of
the week as the latest ensemble guidance remains in disagreement
in regards to a developing mid level trough further to the north
that will push into the Great Lakes and the Northeast during this
time frame. The discrepancies in the guidance are with how far
south this trough actually makes it. The ECMWF ensembles show a
stronger ridge holding over the area, while the GFS suite weakens
the ridge over South Florida heading into the end of the week as
the trough pushes southeastward. This will ultimately determine
how far southward the next frontal boundary pushes. The ECMWF
solutions would feature drier and warm weather as high pressure
would hold strong while the GFS suite would potentially introduce
a chance of showers and storms later in the week as the front
pushes closer to the area. With this being towards the end of the
forecast period, the latest forecast takes a blend of the forecast
models and keeps things relatively dry for now. This will
continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 134 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

SErly wind flow will continue at all east coast terminals today
with SWrly wind flow prevailing at KAPF through sunset. SHRA/TSRA
is forecast to develop mainly across inland areas this afternoon
through 00z as mainly VFR and dry conditions remain at all coastal
terminals. Winds will become light and variable overnight with
some development of patchy inland fog between 06z-13z Sunday
morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 219 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

A gentle to moderate east to southeasterly breeze will continue
across most of the local waters today. The exception to this will be
across the Gulf waters, where winds will become southwesterly in the
afternoon as a Gulf breeze develops. Winds become south to
southwesterly across all local waters on Sunday as a weakening
frontal boundary approaches from the north. Seas across the Atlantic
and Gulf waters will remain at 2 feet or less through the weekend.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible today and
Sunday across the local waters.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 219 AM EDT Sat Apr 25 2026

A moderate risk of rip currents will remain in place across the Palm
Beaches today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            70  86  70  87 /  10  20  10  10
West Kendall     67  88  66  89 /  10  20  10  10
Opa-Locka        70  88  70  88 /  10  20  10  10
Homestead        70  86  69  87 /   0  20  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  70  85  70  85 /  10  20  20  10
N Ft Lauderdale  70  85  71  85 /  10  20  20  10
Pembroke Pines   72  89  71  90 /  10  20  20  10
West Palm Beach  70  85  69  85 /  10  30  20  20
Boca Raton       70  85  71  85 /  10  20  20  10
Naples           69  85  69  87 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CWC
LONG TERM....CWC
AVIATION...Hadi